政坛遗波，小心变天

紅凌

原帖由 8years 于 9-3-2008 05:33 PM 发表
除了狂跌没有其他方向。
1。外资会在观望政治的变动，比如阿x拉会不会下台
2。美国开始在12000点以下
3。各类inflation开始了
4。政府以前的推市不需要了，现在是拿回钱的时候
5。glc company将会被大卖，因为大 ...

同意，目前在讲这个分析最能人信服，
美国始终还在大跌，
国阵的政治权利还没完全移交给反对党，
Last minute会出什么事根本没人知道。

对于投资者来说，
不要乱是最重要的，
国阵大输是这50多年来的第一次，
会出什么事根本没人算的准。

origen

如果这样的情况出现，我断定五年后替阵将会打抱。。
引进这些人谈条件（不就是分猪肉吗！）是酝酿新的贿赂贪污文化。。
根据你的逻辑思维你说国阵50年所以老叔盘根，那么五年的替阵疏根会有多深，能够占有取代多少老叔根？再说，又根据你的逻辑思维（国阵50年老叔盘根，财富比国家还多）那么五年以内替阵要挖多少才有相等或超过50年。。

请看回从前替阵刚刚出现时，吵吵闹闹，纷争不断，此终不能好好合作，经过十多年才现在开始有点融合的现象，才有今天否绝２／３的结果。。假使即时给他们权力，你说这才开始的一点合作精神，会不会让更大，复杂的理国课题所打扰。。
我希望看到的是这几年的新气象能让马来西亚政治培养出两线制，让人民习惯，明白不好政府就给它到，给它换的政治精神，只有一个制度才能长久保护人民的权利，而不是什么政党。。

紅凌

原帖由 origen 于 9-3-2008 06:23 PM 发表
如果这样的情况出现，我断定五年后替阵将会打抱。。
引进这些人谈条件（不就是分猪肉吗！）是酝酿新的贿赂贪污文化。。
根据你的逻辑思维你说国阵50年所以老叔盘根，那么五年的替阵疏根会有多深，能够占有取代多少 ...

现在说这些还太早了，
我们必须以替阵在这5年的表现来决定他是否有资格继续执政，

政治场上不是在写小说，
政治场上宛如战场，是兵不厌诈的，
不要以文人的角度看政治，要以利益的角度看政治。

Maxi

等新内阁的人选先吧，财政部长一定要换人了，还由阿都拉这废材当meh,外资肯定跑人

tan81

问题是，全部污统的当选者都是废材，你期待怎样的财政部长？
一定要换政权。

vincentphuah

昏睡50年,国人渐已醒!

还想看看三大民族平起平坐的盛事!会太远吗?

chonghoo81

真心希望在反对党执政的州属会发展得比那些国政州来得好 和 繁荣。。

我国有希望

vincentphuah

原帖由 tan81 于 9-3-2008 07:11 PM 发表
问题是，全部污统的当选者都是废材，你期待怎样的财政部长？
一定要换政权。

你是说安华吗?这小子也不知道信不信得过...
还有,他会照顾华人吗?我还要关注一下,就用这几年的时间!

vincentphuah

很难讲,毕竟是要两三个反对党一起来管理,不知道会不会意见不合...

origen

哈哈，如果我是政客，以利益的角度看政治，谋政治不错下。。
不过我是区区选民一个，如果不从高道德原则，idealist的角度来要求政治，那么还有什么对我更有利益的指向吗？可能你会不明白我这话是什么意思，简单地说，如果分配资源的权利不在你手，你希望那配资源的人会是最单纯，诚实的人吗？

[ 本帖最后由 origen 于 9-3-2008 07:39 PM 编辑 ]

origen

分析员开始说话了。。

PENANG, Malaysia, March 9, 2008 (AFP) - Weekend elections that have reshaped Malaysia's political landscape will reverberate in the stock market and could dampen investor confidence, economists said Sunday.
ADVERTISEMENT

Massive defections by the small but economically dominant Chinese community and once loyalist minority Indians have highlighted resentment towards the Malay-led government's economic policies, they said.

The Barisan Nasional coalition, led by Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) failed to win a two-thirds majority in parliament for the first time in four decades.

It also lost control of four states, including the technology hub of Penang, to a resurgent opposition in Saturday's polls.

Analysts said that although the government also suffered a rejection from the Muslim Malays who form its bedrock, investors may be concerned that the results could trigger political and racial instability.

"Fund managers will be concerned with the racial divide," Chua Hak Bin, a Singapore-based economist with Citigroup told AFP.

"With the Chinese and Indians voting for the opposition, you raise the question if Malaysia's fundamentals are intact and whether there will be racial violence even though the Malays also voted for the opposition," he said.

Malaysia's minorities are concerned over rising "Islamisation" and angry over the government's refusal to abandon positive discrimination policies that give Malays advantages in education, housing and business.

Chua said the "shocking" election results could keep investors at bay for the next three months.

"The polls outcome has rattled investors. There will doubts raised whether the development projects under the previous state governments will continue. The political shake-up could affect projects and companies," he said.

In the run-up to the elections, the Barisan Nasional launched a series of big-spending economic development plans touted as bringing tens of billions of dollars in investment and infrastructure to Malaysia's regions.

Chua said the fall of Penang, Malaysia's "Silicon Valley" which is home to many high-tech firms and the only state dominated by ethnic Chinese, could affect equity prices.

"It could also have an impact on billion-dollar projects in Penang, including the second bridge crossing," he said.

Wan Suhaimi Saidie, economist with Kenanga Investment Bank, said there could be a drop in share prices when the bourse opens on Monday.

"Some investors may shift their position when trading opens on Monday while others may take to the sidelines. But I think it will just be temporary," he said.

Wan Suhaimi said that with a strong new opposition, the government could hopefully fine-tune its investment policies to woo overseas funds.

But Chua said that Malaysia's long-term political prospects were in the balance, amid uncertainty over the future of Abdullah who is facing calls to resign.

"The election speaks for itself. It shows there is no confidence in his leadership. I will not be surprised if he steps aside," he said.

"They (investors) will not come in aggressively and we will see the Malaysian bourse remain marginalised vis-a-vis other regional bourses."

Kaladher Govindan, head of research at TA Securities, tipped the bourse to fall Monday and said that in the short-term it would suffer from fears over looming instability.

"My gut feeling is it will fall sharply. It is due to concerns of political uncertainties and whether there will be unrest. But it will not crash," he said.

5212003

好過給 只有中學程度的 部長來管

过路客

现在要注意全世界的整体经济趋势，不要单看本地股市。

弹煮

我们政府几时要修宪，规定部长人选必须是大专资格以上。

湖俊

原帖由 8years 于 9-3-2008 17:14 发表
这个是最聪明的作法了，不过应该不能成功，如果成功，马来西亚将大变天，贪污问题依然存在，只是会比较小。

为什么我说是最好的方法？大家不要忘记，国阵50年老叔盘根，财富比国家还多，这次一点失意，随时有机会 ...

早期国阵在那边被东马在野党狂胜的时候，也是派安华去那边谈条件，过后竟然被安华收复那边的政党为国阵。
这次又是安华去谈，很可能有转变呢。

kok1984

老兄

，资金在中央那里，
如果中央不拿钱出来
那些地方这么发展上去？

单靠反对党自身的财力？

发展及经济才能制造更多的就业机会

2。2个经济发达的州落入反对党手里
你知道损失比kedah,kelantan失陷来的大吗？
你们一定会搞破坏，限制这2州的发展
到最后损失的是人民

chonghoo81

规定财政部长必须懂得经济。。。

不是一个说要当包青天的人就可以当财政部长。。。。

笨鳥慢慢来

基金将借此话题炒翻股市。

无花

安拉... 除槟州外,大马各个州都欠中央很多很多钱. 你不给钱, 我就不还利息!!

加上现在在野党在国会那么大声,还怕什么??
不给钱我就在国会里开枪扫

蚂蚁小弟

眼下是希望反对党不要一胜利就马上自乱阵脚
闹个窝里反的
这是我最不希望看到的

霹雳州已经有回教党未经讨论先宣布自己做州务大臣...