【马哈迪姑里联手，企图结合朝野反对力量轰纳吉下台？】
文字翻译：张丹枫
大马政坛最新消息，前首相马哈迪已经和他的政治死敌东姑拉沙里会面，共同商讨推翻纳吉、振救国家的大计！
消息指出，老马与姑里已经达成初步协议，准备结合朝野反对力量，在国会发动对纳吉的不信任动议，一举推翻纳吉政权，然后朝野共商组成联合政府，共同挽救危如累卵的国家经济。
这项消息，无异是在马来政坛投下一枚超级震撼弹！巫统两大重量级元老联手，将整合所有反对纳吉的力量，寻求良机对纳吉一击致命！
根据巫统元老内部传出的消息，马哈迪与姑里已经在本周二（8月11日）会面长谈，并且已经初步达成共识。若消息准确无误，则再一次证明了在政治上是没有永远的朋友，也没有永远的敌人；大家可以为了利益权力而翻脸成仇，也可以为了对付共同的敌人而结盟。
马哈迪对纳吉的仇恨有多深，这个大家都懂；东姑拉沙里对纳吉的憎恨，比马哈迪有过之而无不及。熟悉巫统历史的朋友一定还记得1987年巫统党争；当年马哈迪领导的A队当权派对垒东姑拉沙里与慕沙希旦领导的B对挑战派势力旗鼓相当，马哈迪极有可能会被姑里和慕沙拉下马；当时原本属于B队的彭亨州务大臣纳吉临阵倒戈倒向支持马哈迪阵营；形同对姑里背后插刀，导致姑里的挑战派功亏一篑，马哈迪以区区43张多数票惊险保住巫统党主席职位。当年纳吉的背叛，是姑里胸口永远的痛。
据说，导致两大宿敌决定摒弃成见共同合作的最大原因，是两人都对纳吉胡作非为、对国家经济造成致命伤害的行为大表不满。一个对经济完全是门外汉的人，却坚持霸住财政部长高位不走，每年10月宣布的财政预算案在纳吉手中已经沦为国际大笑话，因为每一次财政预算案宣布不到三个月，纳吉又得在国会寻求增加拨款；这表示他根本不懂做什么预算案，搞不好连预算案是什么都不清楚。
在纳吉拒绝体面下台，宁愿丢光脸皮都死抱首相宝座不放的情况之下，马哈迪与姑里唯一能做的，就是在国会寻求不信任动议投票将这死皮赖脸的臭鸡撵下台。
这两位巫统元老的如意算盘，是结合朝野力量行事。他们盘算民联反对党在国会222个席次里拥有87个国会议席，估计这87张支持不信任动议的选票，加上国阵中那些越来越对纳吉不满的朋党，包括那些怒火中烧的巫统国会议员，还有东马两州的主要盟党如果也揭竿起义，那么老马和姑里就有信心获得足够支持票将纳吉推翻。
然而，事实恐怕没有想象的完美。伊斯兰党拥有的20个国会席能否全投反对纳吉一票还未可知；再说，要说服国阵成员党反纳吉也不是一件容易的事。须知道巫统和国阵朋党领袖大多数都拿过纳吉的好处，要他们【恩将仇报】，这种事只有纳吉做得出来，其他脸皮不够厚的大概心里都很挣扎一下。
虽然巫统只拥有88个国会议席，但是国会议长班迪卡阿敏是出名反民主、经常践踏议会民主的人，明显也是被纳吉的金钱政治收编的看门狗，他不太可能允许或接受反对阵营提出的不信任纳吉动议。
因此，尽管反对纳吉的声浪越来越高，纳吉用金钱政治堆砌起来的防火墙看来还能坚持一段日子。他就站在墙头，公然对着300万巫统党员头上撒尿，巫统党员还是会把这屎尿当成天降甘露的。老马想要像推翻阿都拉那样推翻纳吉，看来还得继续努力。
Malaysia’s Mahathir & Razaleigh Teaming Up to Sink Najib
Once-bitter rivals seek nonpartisan unity government as a way out of crisis
Malaysia’s deteriorating political situation has driven two once-implacable foes – former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad and his onetime rival for UMNO party leadership Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah – together to try to form a unity government to remove current Prime Minister Najib Razak.
“There is a leadership crisis in Malaysia and the consensus is that only one candidate can end it,” said a longtime friend of Razaleigh who played a role in setting up a meeting between the two figures. “That is Ku Li [Razaleigh’s nickname], the only solution. The question is how to put together the mechanics of how it is to be done.”
Sources in Kuala Lumpur say Najib has dug in his heels and refuses to entertain the idea of stepping down voluntarily. It is believed he has threatened to bring down other politicians and officials with him if he is forced out.
Friends and associates of Razaleigh have been trying for weeks to persuade him to join the effort to oust Najib. But the fact that the former enemies within the United Malays National Organization would seek common cause is an indication of how deep Malaysia’s political and economic crisis has become.
Mahathir and Razaleigh met Tuesday, August 11, the source said, adding that the biggest hurdle with be forcing a vote of no-confidence in the parliament.
The two believe they would have unanimous support from the opposition Pakatan Rakyat coalition, which holds 89 of the 222 parliamentary seats although some Parti Islam se-Malaysia votes would be questionable after the fundamentalist Islamic party split earlier this year. Attempts to reach Pakatan officials were unsuccessful.
Parliamentary dysfunction
The ruling Barisan Nasional holds 132 seats, but UMNO has only 88 of them. A general election is not due until April 2018 – unless events overtake Najib’s defenses.
“The parliament is dysfunctional in that the speaker [Pandikar Amin Mulia] is not a democratic speaker,” said the source, a constitutional lawyer. “He controls parliament on behalf of the ruling coalition instead of being a neutral speaker. He won’t allow a vote of confidence on an incumbent prime minister who has lost the confidence of the people.”
However, with rank-and-file sentiment growing restive in the face of a financial scandal linking Najib to irregularities in the 1Malaysia Development Berhad investment fund, some of the component parties in the BN could be open to changing horses. The Malaysian Chinese Association, for instance, has grown disenchanted with UMNO’s increasing embrace of fundamentalist Islamic views and Malay-first rhetoric. Christian parties in East Malaysia could also be up for grabs.
How much real clout the two elderly politicians have is unknown. Although Razaleigh, 78, has retained his seat in parliament, he has been out of a leadership position since 1987, when he challenged Mahathir for the premiership and lost in a battle that split UMNO and guaranteed their enmity. Mahathir, 90, remains a more potent force, but he has been attempting to bring down Najib for more than a year, largely without traction.
Declining fortunes
However, the economic situation may play as much of a role as politics in forcing the issue. Global Risk Insights, the international risk rating agency, warned on August 12 that the 1MDB scandal has “shattered business confidence in Malaysia” and that the government has been distracted as a result from dealing with economic issues like the impact of falling global oil prices on oil-dependent Malaysia’s government debt. Household debt is climbing.
The ringgit, having fallen through the psychologically important RM4:US$1 barrier, is one of the globe’s worst performing currencies. The raid on the currency from global traders appears to be picking up speed, with the ringgit weakening to RM4.25 to the US dollar before the central bank used enough reserves to drive it back down to RM4:03. Banks have begun to limit retail withdrawals to RM3,000 and currency traders say there is a shortage of foreign currencies as people seek safer havens in the dollar.
In the meantime, Najib may be losing his grip on UMNO. He still has the loyalty of a large number of the 191 divisional cadres, mostly through vast payments that provide them with electoral resources and jobs between elections, but the grass roots are another matter.
An extraordinary video went viral earlier this week, for example, of a young woman going postal on Najib during an UMNO women’s wing gathering in Langkawi, accusing Najib in a screeching voice of having “urinated on the 3 million UMNO members. He needs to be sent for medical treatment.” The video has been seen by hundreds of thousands of people.
Sleazy trail
Bersih, the reform NGO, has ordered what it hopes will be a massive rally for August 29. Mahathir is urging people to attend and has suggested they bring water bottles to mop up the tear gas. The police have threatened to block the rally.
The focal point of the whole mess is 1MDB, which was set up as a state-backed investment fund in 2009 with the advice of Jho Taek Low, the young Penang-born tycoon and friend of the Najib family. In the intervening years, the fund, as a result of what appears to be extraordinarily bad management, has run up debts that by some estimates have reached RM50 billion, an unknown amount of that unfunded.
In early July, the Sarawak Report and the Wall Street Journal reported that US$680 million was transferred from unknown sources through a complex web of transactions to Najib’s personal bank account at AmBank in Kuala Lumpur prior to the 2013 general election. Sarawak Report has released graphic details on the flow of millions of ringgit through banks, companies and government agencies linked to 1MDB into accounts held by Jho Low, as he is known, and other accounts.
Najib has said the money was not for his personal use, leaving others to hint that it came from Middle Eastern sources to be used in the 2013 election. But sources have told Asia Sentinel that at least RM1billion flowed out from Najib’s accounts overseas. Neither the source of the money nor its final destination is clear. Certainly, given the relatively small amounts needed to fund electoral races in Malaysia, it would seem impossible to spend such a huge amount
On his blog, Che Det, Mahathir ridiculed the idea that the money came from unknown Arab sources, saying “his claim that Arabs donated billions is what people describe as hogwash or bullshit. Certainly I don’t believe it and neither can the majority of Malaysians if we go by the comments on the social media. The world had a good laugh.”
http://www.asiasentinel.com/blog ... g-up-to-sink-najib/
https://www.facebook.com/2064065 ... ?type=1&theater |
本周最热论坛帖子
发表于 14-8-2015 08:44 AM
变色卡
千斤顶
楼主
发表于 15-8-2015 02:52 PM
1554 
51
