俄羅斯在數小時內對烏克蘭發動大規模空襲，可能包括「榛樹」（Oreshnik）具備核武能力的飛彈。

aidj

俄軍大規模空襲基輔！疑動用「榛果樹」極音速飛彈 澤倫斯基示警成真
6

烏克蘭首都基輔於週日凌晨遭到俄羅斯大規模飛彈與無人機襲擊，造成至少3人受傷並導致多處民宅受損。此前烏克蘭空軍曾發出警告，指俄軍可能發射新型「榛果樹」（Oreshnik）極音速飛彈，總統澤倫斯基也證實掌握相關情資。

根據路透社（Reuters）報導，基輔當地時間週日凌晨1點左右傳出巨大爆炸聲響。烏克蘭空軍隨即在社群平台Telegram發布警告，指出俄軍可能發射了「榛果樹」（Oreshnik）中程彈道飛彈。基輔市長 Vitali Klitschko 表示，這波攻擊造成市中心一所學校起火，且有多棟住宅建築遭到碎片波及受損，目前已知至少有3名平民受傷。

烏克蘭總統澤倫斯基（Volodymyr Zelenskyy）在週六就曾公開示警，根據烏克蘭、美國及歐洲的情報顯示，俄羅斯正準備動用「榛果樹」飛彈發動攻擊。這種飛彈被俄羅斯總統普丁（Vladimir Putin）吹捧為「無法攔截」的神兵利器，據稱其飛行速度可達音速的10倍以上。目前烏克蘭軍方尚未正式證實本次空襲是否確實包含該型飛彈。




本文由AI協作，經編輯審核後發布










推

aidj

有留言指该频道是AI
该视频URL：https://youtu.be/ZPyxS36qYfA

aidj

aidj 发表于 24-5-2026 09:26 AM
有留言指该频道是AI

不该省点用具备核武能力的飞弹？？


**Yes, the Oreshnik (Орешник, "Hazel") is a nuclear-capable Russian IRBM.**

### Key Facts
- **Type**: Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missile (IRBM), road-mobile, derived from the RS-26 Rubezh project.
- **Speed**: Hypersonic — reported over **Mach 10** (around 3.4 km/s) during re-entry.
- **Payload**: Carries **MIRVs** (Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles) — typically **six warheads**, each potentially releasing multiple submunitions (e.g., 6x6 configuration observed in strikes). MIRV technology was historically nuclear-only until recent uses.
- **Warhead options**: Explicitly **dual-capable** — nuclear or conventional. Russia has so far used it with conventional (or even inert/dummy) payloads in Ukraine for kinetic impact.
- **Range**: Intermediate (hundreds to ~5,500+ km depending on configuration and trajectory). Capable of hitting targets across Europe.
- **Combat use**: First in November 2024 on Dnipro, then again in January 2026 on Lviv region. Used in response to long-range Western strikes on Russia.

It is very hard to intercept due to its speed, high-altitude trajectory, and MIRV bus with decoys. Even inert warheads cause significant kinetic damage.

### "Ammunition Out of Stock"
This matches reports of **very limited inventory**. As of early 2026:
- Ukraine's intelligence estimated Russia had only **3–4 Oreshnik missiles** total.
- Serial production has started (announced by Putin in 2025), but output is low — perhaps **5+ per year** initially.
- It's an expensive, complex system not suited for mass daily use like cheaper cruise missiles or drones. Russia is using it sparingly, more for **psychological/escalation signaling** than routine battlefield attrition.

Your YouTube link (ZPyxS36qYfA) appears to be a video discussing a Ukrainian warning about a potential Oreshnik strike on Kyiv — consistent with how Russia has used launches as warnings/threats.

### Context
The Oreshnik is part of Russia's post-INF Treaty (which the US and Russia abandoned) push into medium/long-range missiles. It's more about **deterrence and signaling** to NATO than a game-changing conventional weapon in Ukraine right now, given limited numbers.

If you have more details from the video or a specific question (e.g., comparisons to other missiles), let me know!

aidj

aidj 发表于 24-5-2026 09:28 AM
不该省点用具备核武能力的飞弹？？

社交媒体上有 deep fake爆炸画面 无法分辨真假


GROK：
**Video Summary: "Ukraine ISSUES Rare Warning Of Russian IRBM Strike On Kyiv; US Declares MAJOR Alert"** (EnforcerNews)

### Main Topic
The video reports on a **rare public warning** from Ukrainian President Zelenskyy that Russia is preparing to strike **Kyiv** with the **nuclear-capable Oreshnik IRBM** (the hypersonic intermediate-range ballistic missile).

### Key Points Covered:
- Ukraine is actively preparing its air defenses for the potential incoming Oreshnik attack.
- The **U.S. Embassy in Kyiv** issued a major security alert for the next 24 hours, warning of an imminent devastating Russian attack.
- The presenter (Enforcer Matt) frames this as a highly concerning escalation.

### Additional Segments:
- Updates on Ukrainian strikes against Russian rear areas, oil depots, and military facilities.
- Reports of worsening gasoline shortages in occupied Crimea due to Ukrainian actions.
- Brief coverage of potential U.S. developments regarding Iran (possible renewed attacks or a deal in the next 72 hours).

The video is a typical daily news roundup style (~20 minutes long), mixing breaking alerts with broader war updates. It ends with calls for likes, subscriptions, Patreon support, and mentions of their nightly streams.

**Overall tone**: Alarmist / urgent, typical for this channel’s coverage of Russia-Ukraine developments. The Oreshnik threat is presented as a significant and disturbing development.

This aligns with the context we discussed earlier about Russia’s limited but symbolically important use of the Oreshnik.

aidj

根据网友点评，作初步判断：

主流媒体没报道+乌克兰政府贪污骗军费前科+核飞弹Oreshnik年产能不到5枚不可能全打光

还要看看

aidj

川普 不把 普京 当回事？？


美国AI能力测试；编故事吗？（普京的狼来了
https://c.cari.com.my/forum.php? ... extra=&mobile=2


俄羅斯在數小時內對烏克蘭發動大規模空襲，可能包括「榛樹」（Oreshnik）具備核武能力的飛彈。
https://c.cari.com.my/forum.php? ... extra=&mobile=2


(AI P-task)俄乌战争失控，欧洲全面战争对东盟11国的影响？
https://c.cari.com.my/forum.php? ... extra=&mobile=2

俄罗斯只剩下最后一张 核武牌 ？(AI P-task)
https://c.cari.com.my/forum.php? ... extra=&mobile=2


战争讯号！！？俄军置于死地而后生？美增军前线
https://c.cari.com.my/forum.php? ... extra=&mobile=2



前脚叫嚣攻打加里宁格勒，后脚突遭无人机袭击，立陶宛高官钻地洞
https://c.cari.com.my/forum.php? ... extra=&mobile=2


看见网友点评：和平奖该颁发给习近平
https://c.cari.com.my/forum.php? ... extra=&mobile=2

aidj

司机自导自演？？？

aidj

1. Any news updates on Kyiv hit by missile from
   
2. Zelenskyy
   
3. Mark Rutte, the secretary general of NATO
   
4. Poland Prime Minister Donald Tusk
   
5. UK prime minister Sir Keir Starmer
   
6. Germany chancellor Friedrich Merz
   
7. for past 8 hours. If not find specific statement or response, just say it with short answer. Put country flag in front of person

复制代码

---

**🇺🇦 Volodymyr Zelenskyy**
Before the attack, Zelenskyy warned on Xthat intelligence services had received data — including from American and European partners — about Russia preparing an Oreshnik missile strike. He added: "We are preparing our air defense as much as possible, and we will respond fully justly to every Russian strike."

No post-attack statement has been reported yet in available sources.

---

**🌐 Mark Rutte (NATO Secretary General)**
No specific statement on the May 24 attack found yet.

His most recent Ukraine-related remarks came on May 22 at the NATO Foreign Ministers meeting, where Rutte underscored support for Ukraine and said he hopes to better spread military support among Europe's NATO members, noting only "six or seven allies" are currently doing the heavy lifting.

---

**🇵🇱 Donald Tusk (Poland)**
No specific statement on the May 24 attack found yet in the past 8 hours.

---

**🇬🇧 Keir Starmer (UK)**
No specific statement on the May 24 attack found yet in the past 8 hours.

---

**🇩🇪 Friedrich Merz (Germany)**
No specific statement on the May 24 attack found yet in the past 8 hours.

---

This is a **developing story** — given the attack occurred around 1 a.m. Kyiv time, formal responses from European leaders may still be incoming. I'd recommend checking their official X/social accounts directly for the latest.

aidj

竟然把 法国 忘记写出来



有一个分析家说过美国不会为了欧洲一个城市被俄国核爆，就牺牲波士顿。哪个人是谁

你说的这句话，最经典、最接近的版本，其实是冷战时期法国总统 Charles de Gaulle 和法国战略界常讨论的一个问题：

“美国真的会为了汉堡（Hamburg）或巴黎，被苏联核打击后，再冒着纽约或波士顿被核毁灭的风险进行报复吗？”

冷战里有几个非常著名的变体：

“Would the United States trade New York for Paris?”

“Would America sacrifice Chicago for Hamburg?”

“Would Washington risk Boston for Bonn?”

其中最广为流传、影响最大的，是：

“美国不会为了保卫欧洲，而牺牲自己的城市。”

这个逻辑后来直接推动了法国发展独立核武（Force de frappe）。